Сегодня спрос на ликвидность вырастет

Сегодня спрос на ликвидность вырастет
—Ирина Лебедевааналитик ФК «Уралсиб» Вчера состоялись два аукциона репо под залог ОФЗ, на один и семь дней, и один депозитный аукцион. Лимит, предложенный Казначейством, не был выбран ни на одном из аукционов, тем не менее задолженность банков перед ведомством растет. Особо хотелось бы отметить спрос на депозитном аукционе сроком на 124 дня, где банки взяли 184 млрд руб. при лимите в 200 млрд руб.

Размещение столь значительного объема средств на четыре месяца довольно необычно, доступ к депозитам Казначейства есть преимущественно у крупнейших госбанков, у которых всегда есть возможность привлекать средства на межбанковском рынке. Ставка же по депозитам Казначейства традиционно привязана к текущему уровню ключевой ставки, так что в условиях, когда ставка снижается, эти депозиты становятся малопривлекательными. Высокий спрос на этом аукционе может в какой-то мере отражать ожидания банков, что ключевая ставка будет снижаться медленно. 

Сегодня спрос на ликвидность вырастет. В понедельник предстоят крупнейшие в этом месяце налоговые платежи, мы оцениваем их примерно в 800 млрд руб. При этом маловероятно, что существенный объем платежей пройдет именно сегодня, скорее, банки предпочтут подержать накопленную ликвидность на корсчетах в течение выходных (расчет периода усреднения проводится по календарным дням, а не по рабочим), но сегодня может увеличиться предложение валюты со стороны экспортеров, правда, реализация валютной выручки не увеличивает объем ликвидности в банках, а служит инструментом ее перераспределения.

В разделе «Мнения» сайта Агентства экономической информации «ПРАЙМ» публикуются материалы, предоставленные аналитиками, трейдерами и экспертами российских и зарубежных компаний, банков, а также публикуются мнения собственных экспертов Агентства «ПРАЙМ». Мнения авторов по тому или иному вопросу, отраженные в публикуемых Агентством материалах , могут не совпадать с мнением редакции АЭИ «ПРАЙМ». Авторы и АЭИ «ПРАЙМ» не берут на себя ответственность за действия, предпринятые на основе данной информации. С появлением новых данных по рынку позиция авторов может меняться.

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