Сегмент ОФЗ может показать небольшое снижение из-за роста политических рисков

Сегмент ОФЗ может показать небольшое снижение из-за роста политических рисков
—Ирина Лебедевааналитик ФК «Уралсиб» В понедельник оборот торгов на российском долговом рынке резко упал в связи с празднованием Дня труда в США. При отсутствии нерезидентов тон задавали местные игроки, основной объем сделок сместился во флоатеры ОФЗ 29011 (погашение в январе 2020 г.), ОФЗ 29012 (ноябрь 2022 г.) и ОФЗ 29006 (январь 2025 г.). Котировки этих бумаг слабо изменились по итогам дня, снизившись в пределах 0,3% от номинала.

Цены ОФЗ с постоянным купоном, наоборот, немного поднялись, но на очень низком объеме. Максимальный рост котировок был зарегистрирован у самой длинной бумаги, ОФЗ 26221 с погашением в 2033 г., которая за день прибавила 0,75% от номинала, но ее доходность по итогам дня практически не изменилась, оставшись на уровне 7,9%. На прошлой неделе это был один из наиболее активно торгующихся выпусков.

Сегодня мы ждем восстановления активности инвесторов ближе к значениям прошлой недели, но сегмент ОФЗ может показать небольшое снижение из-за роста политических рисков, связанных с КНДР. Минфин сегодня объявит параметры первичных аукционов ОФЗ, возможно, предложение сократится: план размещений на 3 кв. 2017 г. равен 400 млрд руб., из них 322 млрд руб. уже реализованы. Таким образом, всего в сентябре должно быть продано гособлигаций на 78 млрд руб., средний объем размещений за неделю может упасть вдвое. 

В разделе «Мнения» сайта Агентства экономической информации «ПРАЙМ» публикуются материалы, предоставленные аналитиками, трейдерами и экспертами российских и зарубежных компаний, банков, а также публикуются мнения собственных экспертов Агентства «ПРАЙМ». Мнения авторов по тому или иному вопросу, отраженные в публикуемых Агентством материалах , могут не совпадать с мнением редакции АЭИ «ПРАЙМ». Авторы и АЭИ «ПРАЙМ» не берут на себя ответственность за действия, предпринятые на основе данной информации. С появлением новых данных по рынку позиция авторов может меняться.

Представленные мнения выражены с учетом ситуации на момент выхода материала и носят исключительно ознакомительный характер; они не являются предложением или советом по совершению каких-либо действий и/или сделок, в том числе по покупке либо продаже ценных бумаг. По всем вопросам размещения информации в разделе «Мнения» Вы можете обращаться в редакцию агентства: combroker@1prime.ru.

Источник: 1prime.ru

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