Прогноз индекса РТС на конец 2017 г снижен из-за риска новых санкций и слабости нефтяного рынка

Прогноз индекса РТС на конец 2017 г снижен из-за риска новых санкций и слабости нефтяного рынка
—Опрос Reuters За последние три месяца аналитики понизили прогнозы значения индекса РТС на конец 2017 года, учитывая риски новых санкций против РФ и конфликт между «Роснефтью» и АФК «Система», не способствующий улучшению инвестиционного климата. В опросе Reuters, проведенном в конце июня, приняли участие аналитики 13 инвестиционных компаний и банков.

Медианный прогноз индекса РТС на конец 2017 года располагается на уровне 1.150 пунктов, на 15% выше значения индекса к 18.00 МСК среды. В ходе мартовского опроса медианный прогноз индекса на конец текущего года находился на уровне 1.250 пунктов.

Во втором полугодии российские акции в долларовых ценах попытаются компенсировать провал первых шести месяцев и завершат декабрь, в лучшем случае, на уровне конца 2016 года.

За последние три месяца прогнозы для РТС в сторону снижения пересмотрели восемь респондентов. Опрошенные Reuters аналитики ссылаются на обострение геополитической напряженности, а именно угрозу новых санкций со стороны США, слабость нефтяного рынка и недотянувшие до ожиданий дивиденды компаний РФ. 

На настроения рынка также повлияла история вокруг претензий «Роснефти», требующей компенсации потерь от «Системы», связанных с реорганизацией нефтяной компании «Башнефть» в 2014 году, ныне принадлежащей «Роснефти».

По итогам урожайного 2016 года индекс РТС потяжелел на 52%, в том числе, за счет укрепившегося рубля и надежды инвесторов на смягчение западных санкций в отношении РФ с приходом Дональда Трампа в Белый Дом. 

В отсутствие улучшений на внешнеполитическом фронте долларовый индикатор потерял 10% с конца марта к настоящему времени, а снижение с начала года превысило 13%. На конец 2017 года прогнозы аналитиков варьируются от 850 до 1.350 пунктов.

Неблагоприятное воздействие на курс рубля, а значит и на индекс РТС, могут оказать цена нефти и сокращение баланса ФРС США, которое ожидается с четвертого квартала. 

Многие российские эмитенты разочаровали рынок своими дивидендами, а завершение основного объема выплат в июле лишит российский рынок акций дополнительной поддержки. Самый неприятный сюрприз инвесторам преподнес «Газпром», решивший отдать акционерам 20 процентов прибыли по МСФО по итогам 2016 года, вопреки ожидаемым 50 процентам. 

Некоторые специалисты заметили, что более существенное снижение прогноза РТС на конец года будет иметь смысл в том случае, если Конгресс США в итоге одобрит новый пакет антироссийских санкций. 

В случае падения стоимости нефти Brent до $40 за баррель российский индекс может спуститься к 800 пунктам. Однако большинство респондентов опроса Reuters прогнозируют к концу года более высокую цену Brent относительно текущих $46 за баррель, с чем связаны ожидания легкого восстановления индекса РТС к уровням декабря 2016 года. Некоторые аналитики оценивают РТС в 1.300 пунктов на конец 2017 года, исходя из стоимости барреля в $54.

В разделе «Мнения» сайта Агентства экономической информации «ПРАЙМ» публикуются материалы, предоставленные аналитиками, трейдерами и экспертами российских и зарубежных компаний, банков, а также публикуются мнения собственных экспертов Агентства «ПРАЙМ». Мнения авторов по тому или иному вопросу, отраженные в публикуемых Агентством материалах , могут не совпадать с мнением редакции АЭИ «ПРАЙМ». Авторы и АЭИ «ПРАЙМ» не берут на себя ответственность за действия, предпринятые на основе данной информации. С появлением новых данных по рынку позиция авторов может меняться.

Представленные мнения выражены с учетом ситуации на момент выхода материала и носят исключительно ознакомительный характер; они не являются предложением или советом по совершению каких-либо действий и/или сделок, в том числе по покупке либо продаже ценных бумаг. По всем вопросам размещения информации в разделе «Мнения» Вы можете обращаться в редакцию агентства: combroker@1prime.ru.

Источник: 1prime.ru

153 комментария

Уведомление: dentist chandler arizona (480) 857-4900
Уведомление: create a book for a friend
Уведомление: Top Tallahassee Realtor
Уведомление: Creed Aventus For Her
Уведомление: buy youtube subscribers
Уведомление: stump grinder
Уведомление: best tor sites
Уведомление: บาคาร่า
Уведомление: Custom Vehicle Fabrication
Уведомление: 더나인카지노 쿠폰
Уведомление: download apk games
Уведомление: Offshore Company Formation
Уведомление: google analytics wordpress
Уведомление: 카지노사이트
Уведомление: w88
Уведомление: bitcoin
Уведомление: 바카라사이트
Уведомление: engagement rings
Уведомление: scam
Уведомление: ww88 com
Уведомление: ทางเข้า i99bet
Уведомление: p549#jak dÅ‚ugo trwa pozycjonowanie
Уведомление: cornhole board skins
Уведомление: indoqq
Уведомление: link vao w88
Уведомление: cbd oil
Уведомление: cbd-campus
Уведомление: halloween floor decals
Уведомление: Lucy
Уведомление: www.cialisis.org
Уведомление: foam selfie frame
Уведомление: porn

I simply want to mention I am just beginner to blogging and actually savored your blog site. Most likely I’m want to bookmark your blog post . You certainly come with wonderful well written articles. Many thanks for revealing your webpage.

Howdy! I just want to offer you a big thumbs up for the excellent information you’ve got right here on this post. I am coming back to your website for more soon.

Aw, this was an extremely good post. Taking a few minutes and actual effort to make a great article… but what can I say… I put things off a lot and don’t seem to get anything done.

Hi, I do believe this is a great website. I stumbledupon it 😉 I am going to come back once again since i have book-marked it. Money and freedom is the greatest way to change, may you be rich and continue to help others.

I absolutely love your website.. Great colors & theme. Did you build this site yourself? Please reply back as I’m looking to create my own personal website and would like to know where you got this from or just what the theme is called. Kudos!

Aw, this was a really nice post. Spending some time and actual effort to generate a very good article… but what can I say… I put things off a lot and never manage to get anything done.

Oh my goodness! Amazing article dude! Many thanks, However I am going through problems with your RSS. I don’t know why I can’t subscribe to it. Is there anyone else having identical RSS issues? Anyone that knows the answer will you kindly respond? Thanks!!

Aw, this was a very good post. Taking a few minutes and actual effort to generate a really good article… but what can I say… I procrastinate a whole lot and don’t manage to get anything done.

An impressive share! I’ve just forwarded this onto a colleague who has been doing a little research on this. And he in fact bought me breakfast due to the fact that I stumbled upon it for him… lol. So allow me to reword this…. Thanks for the meal!! But yeah, thanks for spending some time to discuss this issue here on your internet site.

Having read this I thought it was very informative. I appreciate you finding the time and energy to put this informative article together. I once again find myself spending a significant amount of time both reading and leaving comments. But so what, it was still worth it!

You have made some really good points there. I checked on the web for additional information about the issue and found most individuals will go along with your views on this web site.

Heya i am for your first time here. I came across this board and I obtain It really beneficial & it aided me out considerably. I hope to give something again and help others like you assisted me.

Hello there, I believe your web site could be having web browser compatibility problems. Whenever I look at your blog in Safari, it looks fine however when opening in IE, it has some overlapping issues. I simply wanted to give you a quick heads up! Besides that, fantastic website!

Having read this I believed it was rather informative. I appreciate you taking the time and energy to put this article together. I once again find myself personally spending a lot of time both reading and commenting. But so what, it was still worth it!

Oh my goodness! Impressive article dude! Many thanks, However I am encountering troubles with your RSS. I don’t know the reason why I cannot subscribe to it. Is there anybody having similar RSS problems? Anyone who knows the answer can you kindly respond? Thanks!!

I have to thank you for the efforts you’ve put in penning this blog. I really hope to see the same high-grade content by you in the future as well. In truth, your creative writing abilities has inspired me to get my own, personal website now 😉

Hi, I do think this is a great blog. I stumbledupon it 😉 I’m going to revisit yet again since i have book marked it. Money and freedom is the best way to change, may you be rich and continue to guide others.

Your style is very unique in comparison to other people I’ve read stuff from. Thank you for posting when you’ve got the opportunity, Guess I’ll just bookmark this web site.

Can I simply just say what a comfort to discover a person that actually understands what they are discussing online. You actually realize how to bring a problem to light and make it important. A lot more people have to check this out and understand this side of the story. I was surprised that you aren’t more popular because you definitely possess the gift.

After looking into a few of the blog posts on your web site, I really like your technique of writing a blog. I added it to my bookmark website list and will be checking back soon. Please check out my website as well and let me know how you feel.

An interesting discussion is definitely worth comment. There’s no doubt that that you should publish more about this subject, it may not be a taboo subject but typically people do not talk about these subjects. To the next! Many thanks!!

Everything is very open with a very clear explanation of the issues. It was really informative. Your website is very useful. Thanks for sharing!

Aw, this was an incredibly nice post. Taking a few minutes and actual effort to make a good article… but what can I say… I procrastinate a whole lot and never seem to get nearly anything done.

Greetings! Very useful advice in this particular article! It’s the little changes that make the greatest changes. Thanks for sharing!

Way cool! Some very valid points! I appreciate you penning this article and the rest of the website is also really good.

You are so interesting! I don’t believe I’ve truly read through a single thing like that before. So good to discover someone with unique thoughts on this subject. Seriously.. thanks for starting this up. This site is one thing that is required on the web, someone with a bit of originality!

The next time I read a blog, Hopefully it doesn’t fail me as much as this particular one. I mean, I know it was my choice to read through, nonetheless I genuinely believed you’d have something helpful to say. All I hear is a bunch of crying about something that you could fix if you were not too busy looking for attention.

I really love your blog.. Very nice colors & theme. Did you create this web site yourself? Please reply back as I’m hoping to create my own website and would love to find out where you got this from or exactly what the theme is called. Appreciate it!

I’m amazed, I must say. Seldom do I encounter a blog that’s both equally educative and entertaining, and let me tell you, you have hit the nail on the head. The issue is an issue that not enough men and women are speaking intelligently about. I’m very happy I found this in my hunt for something relating to this.

You’re so interesting! I don’t think I’ve read anything like that before. So wonderful to find somebody with some unique thoughts on this issue. Really.. many thanks for starting this up. This web site is something that is needed on the web, someone with a little originality!

You’re so cool! I do not believe I have read through a single thing like this before. So great to discover another person with genuine thoughts on this subject matter. Seriously.. thanks for starting this up. This site is something that is required on the internet, someone with a bit of originality!

Can I simply say what a relief to find somebody who really understands what they are talking about over the internet. You actually realize how to bring an issue to light and make it important. A lot more people have to look at this and understand this side of your story. It’s surprising you aren’t more popular since you surely have the gift.

After looking into a number of the blog articles on your site, I honestly appreciate your technique of blogging. I added it to my bookmark site list and will be checking back soon. Please check out my website too and tell me how you feel.

Hello there! I could have sworn I’ve been to this web site before but after going through some of the articles I realized it’s new to me. Anyhow, I’m definitely delighted I came across it and I’ll be bookmarking it and checking back frequently!

The next time I read a blog, I hope that it won’t disappoint me just as much as this one. I mean, I know it was my choice to read through, however I really thought you’d have something interesting to say. All I hear is a bunch of moaning about something you could possibly fix if you weren’t too busy seeking attention.

I’m amazed, I have to admit. Rarely do I come across a blog that’s both educative and entertaining, and let me tell you, you have hit the nail on the head. The problem is something not enough people are speaking intelligently about. I’m very happy I came across this in my hunt for something relating to this.

Way cool! Some very valid points! I appreciate you writing this write-up plus the rest of the site is also very good.

Hello there! This post could not be written much better! Reading through this post reminds me of my previous roommate! He continually kept preaching about this. I will forward this article to him. Pretty sure he’s going to have a very good read. Thank you for sharing!

Hello there! This article couldn’t be written any better! Going through this article reminds me of my previous roommate! He always kept preaching about this. I am going to forward this post to him. Fairly certain he’ll have a good read. Thank you for sharing!

Hello there! This blog post couldn’t be written any better! Going through this post reminds me of my previous roommate! He constantly kept talking about this. I will send this article to him. Pretty sure he will have a good read. Thanks for sharing!

Hi there! This article could not be written much better! Going through this article reminds me of my previous roommate! He constantly kept talking about this. I’ll forward this information to him. Fairly certain he’s going to have a great read. Many thanks for sharing!

Having read this I believed it was really enlightening. I appreciate you finding the time and effort to put this content together. I once again find myself spending way too much time both reading and leaving comments. But so what, it was still worthwhile!

That is a really good tip especially to those fresh to the blogosphere. Simple but very accurate information… Thanks for sharing this one. A must read post!

This is a great tip particularly to those fresh to the blogosphere. Simple but very precise info… Appreciate your sharing this one. A must read article!

An impressive share! I have just forwarded this onto a colleague who had been doing a little research on this. And he actually ordered me breakfast due to the fact that I found it for him… lol. So let me reword this…. Thank YOU for the meal!! But yeah, thanks for spending time to talk about this matter here on your site.

Everything is very open with a very clear clarification of the issues. It was really informative. Your website is extremely helpful. Thank you for sharing!

Right here is the perfect site for anyone who wishes to find out about this topic. You know so much its almost tough to argue with you (not that I actually would want to…HaHa). You definitely put a fresh spin on a topic that has been written about for many years. Wonderful stuff, just great!

I’m more than happy to uncover this great site. I want to to thank you for ones time just for this fantastic read!! I definitely enjoyed every part of it and I have you saved to fav to see new stuff in your web site.

Way cool! Some extremely valid points! I appreciate you writing this post plus the rest of the site is extremely good.

Your style is unique compared to other people I’ve read stuff from. I appreciate you for posting when you’ve got the opportunity, Guess I’ll just book mark this page.

Hello there, I think your site may be having browser compatibility problems. When I take a look at your site in Safari, it looks fine however, if opening in IE, it’s got some overlapping issues. I just wanted to provide you with a quick heads up! Other than that, excellent site!

Hello there! This blog post could not be written much better! Looking at this article reminds me of my previous roommate! He always kept preaching about this. I’ll send this post to him. Pretty sure he will have a good read. Many thanks for sharing!

Hi, I do believe this is an excellent site. I stumbledupon it 😉 I may come back yet again since i have book marked it. Money and freedom is the greatest way to change, may you be rich and continue to help others.

It’s hard to find experienced people in this particular subject, however, you seem like you know what you’re talking about! Thanks

Your style is unique in comparison to other folks I have read stuff from. Many thanks for posting when you have the opportunity, Guess I’ll just book mark this blog.

This is a very good tip particularly to those new to the blogosphere. Short but very accurate info… Thanks for sharing this one. A must read article!

Right here is the perfect webpage for anyone who hopes to find out about this topic. You know a whole lot its almost hard to argue with you (not that I actually will need to…HaHa). You definitely put a new spin on a subject which has been written about for a long time. Wonderful stuff, just great!

Spot on with this write-up, I honestly believe this amazing site needs a great deal more attention. I’ll probably be returning to read through more, thanks for the info!

Aw, this was a very good post. Taking the time and actual effort to generate a good article… but what can I say… I hesitate a lot and don’t manage to get nearly anything done.

Having read this I believed it was very enlightening. I appreciate you finding the time and energy to put this short article together. I once again find myself spending a lot of time both reading and leaving comments. But so what, it was still worthwhile!

I’d like to thank you for the efforts you have put in penning this blog. I really hope to see the same high-grade content from you later on as well. In truth, your creative writing abilities has encouraged me to get my own website now 😉

Good post. I learn something totally new and challenging on blogs I stumbleupon everyday. It’s always useful to read articles from other authors and use something from other web sites.

Good day! I could have sworn I’ve been to your blog before but after looking at many of the articles I realized it’s new to me. Regardless, I’m certainly delighted I came across it and I’ll be bookmarking it and checking back frequently!

Hey there! I simply wish to offer you a huge thumbs up for your excellent information you have got right here on this post. I am returning to your blog for more soon.

An intriguing conversation deserves comment. I believe that you must create a lot more on this subject, it might not be a forbidden topic yet generally people are not nearly enough to speak on such topics. To the following. Cheers

Hello there! This blog post could not be written much better! Looking at this post reminds me of my previous roommate! He constantly kept talking about this. I am going to forward this article to him. Fairly certain he’ll have a very good read. Thank you for sharing!

A fascinating discussion is definitely worth comment. I believe that you should write more on this issue, it might not be a taboo matter but usually people do not talk about such subjects. To the next! Cheers!!

Nice post. I learn something new and challenging on sites I stumbleupon every day. It will always be useful to read content from other authors and use a little something from other sites.

I seriously love your blog.. Pleasant colors & theme. Did you create this website yourself? Please reply back as I’m wanting to create my own site and would like to know where you got this from or what the theme is called. Appreciate it!

Комментирования закрыты.