Аукцион на Эргинское месторождение перенесен, стартовый платеж вновь увеличен

Аукцион на Эргинское месторождение перенесен, стартовый платеж вновь увеличен
—Алексей Кокинаналитик корпорации «Уралсиб» 

Новый аукцион может быть объявлен в ближайшее время. Объявленный 27 марта аукцион на Эргинское нефтяное месторождение в ХМАО (Югре), назначенный на 7 июня, отменен из-за технической ошибки. По словам главы Роснедр Евгения Киселева, ведомство рассчитывает за неделю согласовать все документы, необходимые для объявления нового аукциона. При этом стартовый платеж может быть повышен с 7,1 млрд руб. до 7,3 млрд руб. (около 130 млн долл.).

Стартовая цена невелика

Эргинское месторождение граничит с Приобским, на котором добычу ведут Роснефть (ROSN RX – ДЕРЖАТЬ) и Газпром нефть (SIBN RX – ДЕРЖАТЬ). Запасы нефти Эргинского месторождения по категории C1+C2 равны 103 млн т (755 млрд барр.). Таким образом, стартовая цена составит всего лишь 0,17 долл. за баррель, поэтому можно ожидать ее значительного превышения в ходе аукциона. Первоначально объявленная стартовая цена была еще ниже – 5,35 млрд руб., но затем она выросла до 7,1 млрд руб.

Оценка запасов, вероятно, будет ниже, чем на аукционах 2012 г

Об участии в аукционе заявили Роснефть, Газпром нефть и ЛУКОЙЛ, однако в силу близости Эргинского и Приобского месторождения первые две компании представляются более вероятными победителями. Кроме того, ЛУКОЙЛ уже выиграл крупный аукцион в Западной Сибири в 2012 г., получив лицензию на Имилорское месторождение, которое запустил в 2014 г. Платеж ЛУКОЙЛа составил 1,2 долл./барр. извлекаемых запасов при стартовой цене около 0,6 долл./барр. Мы полагаем, что платеж за Эргинское будет на 50–70% ниже из-за снижения прогнозных цен на нефть по сравнению с 2012 г.

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