Льготное автокредитование выросло на 33%

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Льготное автокредитование выросло на 33%

Фото:
Олег Харсеев /

Коммерсантъ

Как стало известно «Ъ», продажи по программе льготного автокредитования в 2016 году выросли примерно на 33%, до 324 тыс. машин. На фоне ожидаемого оживления спроса и продления программы (3 млрд руб. на 2017 год) эксперты ожидают роста количества сделок по автокредитам. При этом в Минпромторге обсуждают идею расширения лимита стоимости машины, которую можно купить по программе, что позволит расширить охват рынка.

В 2016 году по программе льготного автокредитования было реализовано 324 тыс. легковых машин, рассказали «Ъ» в Минпромторге. Таким образом, плановый показатель (270 тыс. машин) был превышен на 20%, подчеркивают в министерстве. В 2017 году на поддержку автокредитования из бюджета выделено 10 млрд руб., из которых 7 млрд руб. направлено на обслуживание ранее заключенных кредитов, 3 млрд руб.— на новые. Сейчас средняя ставка по программе с учетом скидки составляет 9,47%, скидка — 6,67 п. п. По ней можно купить машину, выпущенную в России, стоимостью до 1,15 млн руб. и массой не более 3,5 тонны. В 2015 году по программе было реализовано 243,2 тыс. машин.

По словам источников «Ъ» на рынке, в Минпромторге обсуждают возможность расширения лимита стоимости машин, реализуемых по программе, до 1,5 млн руб., «поскольку это потенциально позволит повысить эффективность программы и увеличить степень охвата рынка». В ведомстве это не опровергли. Автоконцерны давно лоббировали эту идею, а Минпромторг относился к ней скептически. Но после скачка цен на машины из-за девальвации рубля в конце 2015 года количество доступных под программу моделей сократилось.

По данным Национального бюро кредитных историй (НБКИ), количество выданных автокредитов в 2016 году выросло на 13,8%, до 552,4 тыс., причем в четвертом квартале кредитов было выдано на 23% больше, чем годом ранее,— 161,3 тыс. Доля приобретенных в кредит машин в структуре авторынка выросла в 2016 году на 7 п. п., до 44%, что, впрочем, объясняется сжатием рынка. Глава НБКИ Александр Викулин отмечал, что темпы выдачи автокредитов растут, хотя их качество продолжает ухудшаться: доля просроченной задолженности свыше 30 дней превысила 9%.

На АвтоВАЗе не уточняют, сколько машин реализовано за счет льготного автокредитования, но сообщили, что с использованием всех программ (включая программу обновления парка) в прошлом году было продано около 50% машин. В Kia рассказали, что в 2016 году по льготной программе было продано 25% машин против 28% годом ранее. В компании называют льготное автокредитование «самой эффективной мерой» господдержки с точки зрения стимулирования спроса. Кроме того, в Kia поддерживают идею расширения ценового лимита до 1,5 млн руб., поскольку это поможет стимулировать обновление парка через замену машин на новые. У Hyundai продажи по госпрограмме выросли с 21,5 тыс. до 28,5 тыс. машин, говорят в компании, подчеркивая, что она является эффективным инструментом для поддержания рынка, а потраченные госсредства возвращаются в бюджет в виде налоговых сборов, акцизов на топливо и других расходов клиента. В Hyundai «приветствуют распространение кредитной субсидии на все машины, произведенные в РФ, независимо от стоимости модели, поскольку это позитивно сказывается как на бюджете, так и на индустрии в целом».

Владимир Беспалов из «ВТБ Капитала» полагает, что с учетом ожиданий по восстановлению рынка в 2017 году можно ожидать роста сделок по автокредитованию в абсолютном выражении. По его мнению, с точки зрения стимулирования спроса расширение лимита стоимости целесообразно за счет более широкого охвата покупателя и выбора машин. Тенденция роста цены на машины будет продолжаться, поскольку эффект девальвации все еще полностью не переложен в цены, напоминает эксперт.

Источник: kommersant.ru

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